《先驱太阳报》报道称,如果澳洲的现金利率在圣诞节前上调至1.75%,墨尔本多地民众的月供将比上次现金利率为1.75%时多出近900澳元。
Ng一家(图片来源:《先驱太阳报》)
澳联储被认为将在6月7日将现金利率提高到0.75%,并在12月升至1.75%。 2016年澳洲的现金利率曾达到1.75%,而如果现在达到该水平,普通房产的月还款 额将比2016年多1000多澳元。
2016年以后,房价和生活成本均飙涨,但目前创纪录的低利率,使得当前墨尔本的月度还款额仅比那时高出170澳元。 Jason Ng和妻子Esther近期买了一套房子,正在等待交割,目前居住在Doncaster East的一套租屋内。 他们在8个月前迎来了第一个孩子,感觉生活压力成本比以往任何时候都要大。
Jason说:“存首付对我们来说已经很困难了,我们有点担心房子交割后现金利率上涨造成的后果。如果利率继续上涨,我们的还款额就会增加,在食品和燃料方面的花费也会增加。” 他说,他们不得不修改对新家的装修预期。 他们还改变了自己的预算,原因是孩子出生后情况更加复杂。
(图片来源:《先驱太阳报》)
疫情期间在热门市场,如Mornington半岛,买房的买家,将最容易受到利率上涨影响。
PropTrack的经济学家Angus Moore表示,在这些地区买房的人可能在经济上更有优势,能够经受住风暴。 与此同时,生活成本压力上涨,包括油价涨到2澳元/升,通货膨胀率上涨,工资停滞不前。
RateCity.com.au的研究主管Sally Tindall表示,到明年,普通借款人的每月还款 额“可能会增加651澳元”。
Finder理财专家Rebecca Pike说,在其消费者情绪跟踪报告中,为满足生活费用而 面临困难的澳洲人的数量正在上升,并在4月份达到了历史最高水平。
PropTrack向澳洲新闻集团提供的数据显示了2022年结束时维州每个区的抵押贷款 持有人可能要多付多少钱。
(图片来源:《先驱太阳报》)
以下数据显示的是各个区域的对比:
数据代表的分别是:
墨尔本和维州各地区、截至2016年7月的12个月内的房屋中位价、2016年7月的月度抵押贷款还款额、截至2020年4月的12个月内的房屋中位价、 当前的抵押贷款还款额、如果现金利率上涨到1.75%的抵押贷款还款额:
总体(包括公寓和房屋):
墨尔本: $570,000, $2,600, $800,000, $2,560, $3,180
维州偏远地区:$320,000, $1,430, $530,000, $1,700, $2,120
房屋:
墨尔本:$600,000, $2,730, $900,000, $2,900, $3,610
维州偏远地区:$320,000, $1,480, $560,000, $1,790, $2,220
墨尔本:$520,000, $2,390, $620,000, $2,000, $2,490
维州偏远地区:$260,000, $1,200, $390,000, $1,250, $1,550
维州各区抵押贷款上涨最大的区:
总体(包括公寓和房屋):
Portsea, Greater Melbourne, $1,700,000,$7,740, $3,760,000, $12,110, $15,050
Sorrento, Greater Melbourne, $950,000, $4,330, $2,340,000, $7,530, $9,350
St Andrews Beach, Greater Melbourne, $630,000, $2,850, $1,830,000, $5,890, $7,320
Fingal, Greater Melbourne, $710,000, $3,230, $1,860,000, $5,980, $7,440
Somers, Greater Melbourne, $750,000, $3,420, $1,750,000, $5,630, $7,000
Blairgowrie, Greater Melbourne, $750,000, $3,420, $1,690,000, $5,440, $6,760
Canterbury, Greater Melbourne, $1,860,000, $8,450, $2,920,000, $9,390, $11,670
Anglesea, Rest of Vic, $660,000, $2,980, $1,550,000, $4,990, $6,210
Barwon Heads, Rest of Vic, $740,000, $3,390, $1,610,000, $5,170, $6,430
Mount Eliza, Greater Melbourne, $850,000, $3,880, $1,700,000, $5,470, $6,800
房屋:
Portsea, Greater Melbourne, $1,700,000, $7,740, $3,760,000, $12,110, $15,050
Sorrento, Greater Melbourne, $960,000, $4,370, $2,400,000, $7,720, $9,590
St Andrews Beach, Greater Melbourne, $630,000, $2,880, $1,810,000, $5,820, $7,240
Black Rock, Greater Melbourne, $1,460,000, $6,630, $2,610,000, $8,390, $10,430
Somers, Greater Melbourne, $750,000, $3,420, $1,750,000, $5,630, $7,000
Blairgowrie, Greater Melbourne, $750,000, $3,420, $1,700,000, $5,450, $6,780
Barwon Heads, Rest of Vic, $780,000, $3,560, $1,720,000, $5,550, $6,900
Anglesea, Rest of Vic, $680,000, $3,110, $1,600,000, $5,150, $6,400
Malvern, Greater Melbourne, $1,980,000, $9,040, $3,050,000, $9,810, $12,190
Mount Eliza, Greater Melbourne, $880,000, $4,010, $1,760,000, $5,660, $7,040
公寓:
Torquay, Rest of Vic, $460,000, $2,110, $900,000, $2,900, $3,610
Dromana, Greater Melbourne, $420,000, $1,900, $790,000, $2,530, $3,140
Safety Beach, Greater Melbourne, $440,000, $2,000, $810,000, $2,610, $3,240
Frankston South, Greater Melbourne, $440,000, $2,010, $800,000, $2,570, $3,190
Ocean Grove, Rest of Vic, $500,000, $2,280, $860,000, $2,770, $3,440
Black Rock, Greater Melbourne, $810,000, $3,690, $1,210,000, $3,890, $4,840
Rosebud, Greater Melbourne, $380,000, $1,730, $720,000, $2,300, $2,860
Belmont, Rest of Vic, $290,000, $1,320, $580,000, $1,860, $2,310
Edithvale, Greater Melbourne, $510,000, $2,320, $830,000, $2,660, $3,310
Mont Albert North, Greater Melbourne, $930,000, $4,250, $1,300,000, $4,180, $5,200