虽然近日新西兰央行行长在新西兰金融体系报告中称风险上行,支柱产业乳品行业呈压与房价修正风险并存。
但由于在被问及货币政策时,行长维拉拒绝进行评论。由于对于货币政策并无明确继续降息之表态,在会议之后,纽币未跌反涨,现行于0.6560附近。
技术图形上看,在上周五非农大跌以后,对美元汇率两天坚守支持位置0.65附近,逐步筑出潜在的短期底部,有望继续上探0.6640附近,然后是0.6730。
而从长期图形上看,形态仍然显弱,由于周五非农数据影响有跌破其10月份上升趋势的迹象。短期内纽币仍然会是调整形态,下方潜在支持看0.6500,0.6250,0.6100。
日线图
日线图上看,在上周五一根阴柱插穿下降通道底部后连续两天受到支持,昨日在央行行长讲话后纽币有反弹上行的迹象,可能再次回到通道中整理运行。
上方潜在的阻力位置为0.6640。如果能够突破此位置,进一步上行潜在目标将可能在0.6730附近。
月线图
月线图显示纽币对美元仍然在长期的下行通道中运行,10月份的较为强势的阳柱可以看到多头的强势,但由于10月份美国非农的影响使得此形态有可能被破坏。
暂时纽币长期形态没有较明确的方向,上方只有成功上破0.6730才有可能成功筑底。而下方如果突破支持位置0.6500下行,则仍可能再次下探0.6250,然后是0.6100。
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