Will the Natural Gas Stockpile Rise for 17 Straight Weeks?

2015年07月31日 投资美国石油俱乐部



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Source:EIA

EIA’s stockpile report

On Thursday, July 30, 2015, the EIA (U.S. Energy InformationAdministration) will publish the weekly natural gas in storage report.Bloomberg surveys and Wall Street Journal surveys projected that US commercialnatural gas inventories could rise by 55 Bcf (billion cubic feet) and 54 Bcffor the week ending July 24, 2015. Last week, government data showed that thenatural gas stockpile rose by 61 Bcf to 2,828 Bcf for the week ending July 17,2015.

Impactof inventories

The natural gas stockpile rose by 88 Bcf over the same period in 2014.The average five-year rise during this period is 48 Bcf. Currently, the naturalgas stock is 28.20% more than the level of 2,206 Bcf in 2014. It’s also 2.90%more the five-year average of 2,747 Bcf.

For the week ending July 24, 2015, US natural gas inventories rose for16 straight weeks. The rising natural gas inventories imply that supply isrising or demand is falling. As a result, rising natural gas in storage willcontinue to put pressure on natural gas prices.

The recent surge in natural gas prices positively impacts upstreamplayers like Memorial Resource Development (MRD), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), andDevon Energy (DVN). They account for 3.63% of the SPDR Oil and Gas ETF (XOP).These companies’ natural gas production mix is more than 43% of theirproduction portfolio.

Energy ETFs like the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) and XOP arealso impacted by volatility in natural gas prices.

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