今日全球乳制品拍卖价格较前次反弹3.6%,终于摆脱连续3次的下跌态势,乳制品均价回升至2419美元/吨,前值为2345美元/吨。
其中,全脂奶粉价格上涨5.3%至2260美元/吨,脱脂奶粉价格上涨3.2%至1918美元/吨。纽币继续昨日涨势,自开盘对美元上涨1.51%,上破0.66美分,目前运行于0.6686附近。
全脂奶粉价格在新西兰商品交易所的期货价格较两周之前上涨8%。新西兰AgiHQ2015-2016农场牛奶收购价格上涨21美分至4.48纽币/千克,逐步向其预期4.60纽币/千克行进。
全球乳制品拍卖价格及其走势
全球乳制品拍卖价格10年指数变化
数据来源:Globaldairytrade
然而,据AgriHQ乳品分析师Susan Kilsby 表示,“虽然拍卖价格有强劲的提升,但市场基本面仍然不容乐观,乳制品绝对产量在全球范围内仍然显示过剩,因此乳制品价格回暖会比较缓慢”。
无论如何,乳品价格的反弹给纽币带来利好的刺激,纽币在本周始初已经显示出一触即发的涨势,主要是由于投资者急于风险与回报的比例考虑偏向做涨纽币所致,加之昨日人民币被正式批准加入联合国储备货币行列,并且所占比例超英、日,使得市场对于美元前景更加不予看好。
在技术图形分析中,纽币突破上涨的形态已经基本形成,上方进一步的潜在多头目标可能在0.6900附近, 然后是0.7100附近。
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