昨日, 美国信用评级公司穆迪将澳大利亚福蒂斯丘(Fortescue Metals Group Ltd.)金属集团信用评级下调至Ba2,使其与信誉良好的投资级别相行甚远。
穆迪表示鉴于铁矿石价格自2011年高峰开始已经下跌70%,中国经济放缓使得铁矿石需求减弱,福蒂斯丘金属集团可能会受到价格持续走低的压力数年。同时,澳币也在昨日经过两周的反弹后出现回撤,对美元汇率在触及高位0.7593后下跌近100点至最低0.7594。
矿业大亨宣称联手进军中国市场使人担忧
就不久之前,澳大利亚福蒂斯丘金属集团与巴西淡水河谷(Vale)公司宣布成立铁矿石合资企业,计划开发年产大约8000万吨至1亿吨混合矿,以增强其与必何必拓和力拓集团的竞争,混和矿主要以中国主要进口矿石品位基准为标准,以降低对中国的低成本出口。但由于四大矿产公司本年度占全球供应量的77%,此合作可能面临中国的反垄断风险。由于铁矿石价格自2011年以来下跌了70%,中国目前存在的金融风险与经济放缓的现状,穆迪公司对于福蒂斯丘金属集团的前景不容乐观。
前不久福蒂斯丘公司降低了生产与资本成本,其财务总监斯蒂文.皮尔斯表示成本的降低将抵消一部分价格下跌的影响。 目前福蒂斯丘在标普公司的评级为BB,同样较为负面的评级。
中国工业生产数据不佳,澳币高位回撤
周末公布的中国1月份至2月份工业生产增长5.4%, 低于预期值5.6%,同时低于12月份5.9%。中国工业生产对于澳大利亚的矿产业产生直接的影响,昨日澳币高位回撤,最高触及0.7593,后滑落近百点。澳币对美元本月已经上涨了5.6%,在10大主要货币对中表现最为强势。铁矿石期货价格同样出现回撤,主要是由于其作为治钢的主要原材料有被高估的可能。
根据彭博社统计数据,对冲基金与其它较大的投机者加大了沽空澳币的赌注, 认为澳联储将有再次降息的可能。今日澳大利亚时间11点30分将发布其货币政策会议内容, 由于近日澳币有较大幅度反弹,有可能会是澳联储再次降息预期的做跌澳币的理由。
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