澳大利亚总理访华能从中国得什么?,澳洲悉尼地产投资微信公众号文章

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据2014年04月09日中国新闻网报道，澳洲本地媒体近期刊载文章表示，毫无疑问，二十一世纪是太平洋世纪。澳大利亚很幸运，不仅地处太平洋地区，而且与太平洋地区最大的两个国家群——东亚和北美互成犄角之势。那么，这个地理优势能给澳大利亚带来多大的利益呢？这得看澳大利亚怎么下这步棋。此次艾伯特访华，到底能在中国得到什么？

文章摘编如下：

其实澳大利亚没有多少选择，或者说，多少年来，澳大利亚只有一个选择：紧跟美国。但对澳大利亚人来说，这最多是“政治上正确”而已，在经济上，还得靠澳大利亚自己。于是，就有了澳大利亚这位并不是很受欢迎的总理艾伯特的东亚三国——中、日、韩七日游。

周一，艾伯特总理与日本达成了“历史性的”自由贸易协定。其内阁声称，相比日本与其他国家签署的贸易协定，我们这个是“最优厚”的，预计今后20年会为澳大利亚GDP注入400亿元。

与澳大利亚民众直接相关的是，澳日自贸协议达成后，日本进口汽车在澳大利亚的售价最多能下降1500元，其他日本高科技家电也将变得更加便宜。但仅就进口日本汽车一项，澳大利亚将每年损失4亿元的关税收入。

与此同时，艾伯特政府还通过分享军事技术的新协议来深化与日本的安全同盟关系。

周二，艾伯特在首尔与韩国签署自贸协定，据说这将使澳大利亚家庭的年购买力提高700元。

周三，艾伯特去中国。访问这个世界第二大经济体，才是艾伯特此行的关键。澳大利亚是全球第13大经济体，但人口总数却位居全球第52位，其国内储蓄水平不足以支撑经济发展所需的资金，因而，拥有高储蓄率的中国自然被视为澳大利亚新的融资来源。可艾伯特在两周前却告诉日媒：支持日本修改法律以推动武器出口——这令中国失望。

这是澳大利亚的一个选择，在经济上，澳大利亚需要与中国合作；可是在政治上又要紧跟美国，进而惹恼中国。

艾伯特到底能在中国得到什么？我们将拭目以待。

摘自英文原版：

Tony Abbott, Chinese eager to finalise free-trade deal

April 9, 2014

Mark Kenny, Phillip Wen

A free-trade agreement worth tens of billions to theAustralian economy could be just months away after Tony Abbott held one-on-onetalks with China's Premier Li Keqiang on arrival in the southern resort islandof Hainan on Wednesday.

Mr Abbott used the talks to promote his economic reformmessage, stressing that Australia welcomes foreign investment, has always needed foreign capital to develop and wants access to the billions of dollars held in China.

The deal would potentially give Chinese companies new accessto direct investment in Australian companies and to lucrative development of resources and public infrastructure.

The visit, which was elevated to the highestlevel of a "state" visit, bringing all the pomp and ceremony affordedto the most powerful, is the third and final leg on Mr Abbott's northern Asiatour. Officials said the signs were thatthe mission was welcomed by a Chinese leadership eager to use the extraleverage of a free-trade agenda to expand the country's overly export-orientedeconomy.

Mr Abbott told the Chinese Premier thatAustralia was open for business.

China is pushing for greater access to investment in Australia, prompting speculation that the threshold of $244 million which triggers automatic assessment by the powerful Foreign Investment Review Boardwill be lifted in line with deals given to Japan and Korea.

A free-trade agreement with China has long been regardedas a boon for Australia assuming it includes rights of Australian businesses to invest in China and greater access to agricultural markets.

Australia is also pursuing greater rights to provideservices in China in areas such as finance, health and ageing services,management, environmental water management and architecture.

After an official welcome and honour guard, Mr Abbott met Premier Li for his first official talks.

High on the agenda was the hunt for MH370 - a priorityfor the Chinese leadership.

Mr Abbott spoke by phone to former chief of defenceforces Angus Houston, the man co-ordinating the search off the coast of WesternAustralia.

Also discussed was the global economic situation.

Premier Li is said by Australian officials tobe crucial to the reform economic agenda pushing for gai ge and kai fang whichroughly translate to reform and openness.

After clinching a last-minute trade agreement with Japanon Monday, and formalising a free-trade deal with South Korea on Tuesday, MrAbbott was expected to use a meeting with Premier Li on Wednesday evening topush Australia’s case for a free-trade agreement with China by his self-imposeddeadline of the end of the year.

It is understood Mr Abbott will also seek to finalise aTreasury deal that will make Sydney a trading hub for the yuan, joining HongKong, Taiwan and Singapore as the only official clearing houses for thecurrency outside the mainland.

But both Mr Abbott and Trade Minister Andrew Robb haveadopted a cautious tone around this week's trade talks. While Mr Abbott saidcompleting the trade deals with Korea and Japan meant Mr Robb and his tradenegotiators could “redouble their efforts and focus single-mindedly” on theChina deal, he said he would only “do a deal with China if and when it isclearly in both our countries’ best interests”.

The biggest sticking point, the Prime Minister said,centred around investment. The Chinese government has long expressed concernabout the Foreign Investment Review Board process, particularly the scrutinyapplied to state-owned enterprises.

“I’ll be reassuring the Chinese that our ForeignInvestment Review Board regime is one that they can well and truly live withand I think to the mutual advantage of both countries,” Mr Abbott told reporterson Tuesday, pointing out the only investment board rejection under hisgovernment has been the blocking of the takeover of Graincorp by US grainsgiant Archer Daniels Midland.

But any concession in the matter would represent adramatic reversal of opinion. Referring to China’s powerful state-ownedenterprises on his last official visit to the country, as opposition leader, in2012, Mr Abbott said it “would rarely be in Australia's national interest toallow a foreign government or its agencies to control an Australianbusiness."

Mr Robb also cautioned that, despite increasingprivatisation in the Chinese economy, “they’ve got predominantly a majority ofstate-owned enterprises”.

“We’ve got to work through with the Chinese, andnegotiate some issues,” he told the ABC. “But the fact of the matter is,wherever you have seen a major trading relationship develop in history, alwaysit is followed with a major investment relationship.''

The trade minister kicked off Australia’s largest trademission, of more than 700 businesspeople, when he arrived in the western hub ofChengdu, in Sichuan province.

Like the Japan and Korea deals, a free-trade agreementwith China is expected to benefit the Australian agricultural sector,particularly beef and dairy exporters.

Under a strategic supply agreement with Chinese giantBright Dairy, to have been announced in a signing ceremony presided over by MrAbbott and Premier Li on Wednesday evening, Freedom Foods Group will beginexporting up to 100 million litres a year of Australian-produced UHT milk toChina.

“Deals like this can show that Australian canbe a great dairy exporter,” Freedom’s managing director, Rory Macleod, said.

After his plenary address at the Bo'ao Forum on Thursday,Mr Abbott will join Mr Robb in Shanghai for the inaugural Australia Week inChina, before heading to Beijing on Friday where he is expected to meetPresident Xi Jin ping.

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