连达7个月一直趋向横盘走势,步入2016年第二季度,澳洲股市是否可以有些转机的机会? 在这里有以下一些向好的理由。
澳洲国债收益率再度陷入史前低位, 投资基金有望转向风险资产
由于美联储对于继续加息的迟疑, 最近澳大利亚国债收益率跟随美国国债均跌至历史低位, 澳大利亚10年期国债收益率跌至2.41%, 几乎近于历史上最低点, 2015年2月份低位2.25%。 澳联储主席格林. 斯蒂文表示澳大利亚利率有进一步被下调的可能以刺激内需。 根据日本东京高级投资顾问Yusuke Ito表示,澳大利亚 10年国债收益率有可能在2016年年底跌至2%。固定资产收益率的逐步下行有可能导致部分资金脱离而转由风险性投资。
国际原油与铁矿石价格出现触底反弹迹象, 澳洲能源股份有望回涨
对于原油是否已经在抄底期的话题人云亦云,是由于目前石油产量问题仍然是无果之题。但市场的反应上已经表现出对于紧缺资源的廉价购入趋势。原油价格2016年伊始便呈现持续反弹,西德克萨斯原油期货价格上涨35.3%, 英国布伦特原油期货价格上涨46.1%。澳大利亚能源股份随油价的触底性反弹出现向好。昨日澳洲指数200中能源板块上涨1.60%,能源板块中7只股票出现上涨,占总比重的77.8%。 另外,由于铁矿石价格的回升,澳大利亚必和必拓与力拓集团股票均自2月份以来呈现较大程度反弹,涨幅分别达16.9%与21.4%。 目前澳大利亚必和必拓集团的股息在6.60%,力拓集团股息在6.70%。
澳币低廉,降低了国际买家入市成本
另外,由于澳币的低廉降低了国际投资者入市澳洲的成本。自2014年5月份澳联储降息以来,澳币对美元(0.7591)自高位至 今年1月份以来下跌35%, 后连续两个月呈现快速反弹, 幅度达12%,尤其是3月份反弹幅度创自2011年以来的历史新高。 可以看出澳币逐步出现筑底倾向, 那么,在澳币与澳洲股市出现向好的基础上, 购入廉价的澳洲资本可以说是投资者能够实现股汇双赢的及好选择。
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