中国经济进入温和增长的“新常态”,澳洲会计师公会上海办事处微信公众号文章

作为近年来重要的经济术语，“新常态”(new normal) 尽管在不同领域有不同含义，但“新常态”在宏观经济领域被西方舆论普遍形容为危机之后经济恢复的缓慢而痛苦的过程。国家领导人近期对于经济发展“新常态”的表述，令外界进一步确认了中国对经济增速放缓的容忍度。澳洲会计师公会会刊INTHEBLACK综合了多家媒体和门户网站的信息，分析了当下最新的全球经济数据：

China's slower growth is the 'new normal': President Xi Jinping

China economic news:

• Annual inflation rose 1.8 per cent in April from April 2013, just below expectations.

• China’s President Xi Jinping stated that China’s slower growth is the “new normal”: “Wemust boost our confidence, adapt to the new normal condition based on thecharacteristics of China’s economic growth in the current phase, and staycool-minded.”

• China's Premier Li Keqiang warned that the size of China’s foreign currency reserves“could affect inflation”: “Foreign exchange reserves have become a big burdenfor us, because such reserves translate into the base money, which could affectinflation… From China's perspective, macroeconomic controls could facetremendous pressures if the overall trade is imbalanced."

Germany - Germany's trade surplus shrank in March to a surplusof 14.8 bilion euros from February’s surplus of 15.7 billion euros. Exportswere down 1.8 per cent and imports fell 0.9 per cent.

Portugal - Standard & Poor's upgraded its outlookfor Portugal to “stable” from “negative”.

US markets – the S&P 500 index rose 0.15 per centon Friday night, with the Dow closing at a record high. IBM and Gap helped pushthe market higher.

European markets – the Stoxx Europe 600 index fell 0.3per cent on Friday night as investors were nervous ahead of a separatistreferendum in parts of eastern Ukraine.

Asian markets – the FTSE CNBC Asia 100 index rose 0.2per cent on Friday as some interpreted a low inflation reading from China asincreasing the probability of China’s government taking further stimulusmeasures to the economy.

Australia - The Australian dollar is trading at US93.57, down fromUS93.69 over the weekend.

Commodities:

• Oil –West Texas Intermediate crude is trading down 29c to US$99.98 a barrel

• Goldis trading down US$1.30 to US$1289.30 an ounce

Coming up:

• The Australian government delivers its 2014/15 budget on Tuesday evening

• Australian housing finance data for March will be released Tuesday

• Australian motor vehicle sales data for April will be released Thursday

• The New Zealand government delivers its 2014/15 budget on Thursday

• Australia’slending finance data for March will be released Friday

Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Channel News Asia,Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australian Financial Review, STOXX and Yahoo!Finance.

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