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Sourse: Pennenergy

Oilproduction from key shale formationsin North Dakota and Texas increased marginally in August versus July, accordingto Bentek Energy, an analytics and forecasting unit of Platts, a leading globalprovider of energy, petrochemicals, metals and agriculture information.

Oilproduction from the Eagle Ford shale basinin Texas remained relatively steady in August, jumping 23,000 barrels per day(b/d), or less than 1%, from July, the latest analysis showed. Oil productionin the Eagle Ford basin has been growing between 1% to 3% each month sinceJanuary of this year when production showed the first (and so far only) sign ofdecline when it decreased 16,000 b/d month-on-month. Meanwhile, crude oilproduction in the North Dakota section of the Bakken* shale formation of theWilliston Basin remained little changed, decreasing 6,000 b/d, or less than 1%in August from July.

The averageoil production from the South Texas, Eagle Ford basin last month was 1.7million barrels per day. On a year-over-year basis, that is up a little lessthan 240,000 incremental barrels per day, or about 17% higher than August 2014,according to Sami Yahya, Bentek energy analyst. The average crude oilproduction from the North Dakota section of the Bakken in August was 1.2million b/d, or about 66,000 b/d from year ago levels.

“While thediscussion of the positive impact of efficiency gains on production levels isimportant, it is worth highlighting the completion deferment,” said Yahya. “Whilethe U.S. is able to drill more wells now with fewer rigs, some producers areopting to defer completing their wells until better economic conditions arepresent. In other words, production could begin to decline even if rig activityand number of drilled wells remain steady. This is a crucial risk to currentproduction numbers.”

While in theshort term completion deferment can hurt production levels, it can be viewed asan increasingly utilized cost-saving method in the present environment, saidYahya.

“In the past,producers tended to drill and complete wells one at a time, whereas now, moreproducers are drilling wells in large clusters and only after all wells aredrilled do they complete them at a batch,” said Yahya. “By not having to bringcompletion rigs back and forth one at a time, they save money.”

Bentekestimates approximately 60% of the drilling and completion cost lies with thecompletion process, which alone is a significant capital investment. Delayingcompletion can help producers hone their budgets until higher rates of returncome about.

Bentekanalysis shows that from August 2014 to August 2015, total U.S. crude oilproduction increased by about 300,000 b/d.

The extraproduction is reflected in lower prices, noted Luciano Battistini, Plattsmanaging editor of Americas crude.

“August was amonth of bearish market sentiment,” said Battistini. “The outright marketvalues of the two shale crudes hit their lowest points of the year. However,now that U.S. crude production has slowed, market sentiment has improvedslightly, with expectations of some price recovery.”

The price ofoil out of the Bakken formation at Williston, North Dakota, was down 14%between January and August, with an average price of $47.40/b for the firsteight months of 2015, according to the Platts Bakken assessment.However, the Platts Bakken price is down 55% when compared to last year’scorresponding month. The wellhead assessment has ranged between $33.35/b and$59.32/b since the beginning of January, with the lowest value reached inAugust.

The PlattsBakken, introduced April 22, 2014, is a daily assessment of price for oilclosest to the wellhead prior to determination of transportation by rail orpipe. The assessment reflects a sulfur content of 0.2% or less and an AmericanPetroleum Institute (API)** gravity of 42 or less, similar to the nature ofNorth Dakota Light Sweet crude. The Platts Eagle Ford Marker reflects thevalue of a median 47-API Eagle Ford crude barrel, based on the crude’s productyields and Platts product price assessments, adjusted for U.S. Gulf Coastlogistics.

Plattsintroduced the world’s first independent daily price reference valuing crudeoil produced from a shale formation in May 2010 when it began assessing BakkenBlend shale oil injected into pipelines at Clearbrook, Minnesota, and Guernsey,Wyoming.

Platts willpublish monthly updates via press release on Bakken and Eagle Ford shale oilproductionand price data.

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