原油周一再度跌破前低，创新12年低位。截至北京时间凌晨时间4点40分，纽约商品交易所西得克萨斯2月份原油期货价格昨日再度下跌5.58%至31.31美元/桶，最低触及30.88，跌幅达7%。原油价格有望下破30美元关口，再向20 美元区间下探。与此同时，布伦伯格大宗商品指数亦创16年低位至75.12。
西德克萨斯原油价格创新12年低位
数据来源：布伦伯格
大宗商品指数跌至自1999年以来新低
数据来源：布伦伯格
人民币贬值向原油价格施压
昨日，中国股市再次呈现大幅下滑，上证指数再度下跌5.33%，险守3000整数位置。新年伊始中国股市便急速下行，下跌近15%。面对中国经济增长放缓的事实，原油等能源型大宗商品需求力减弱。
自2015年8月份以来，由于人民币的大幅贬值, 使得中国对于原油进口成本升高，给原油价格再行施压。摩根士丹利警示如果人民币继续贬值，原油价格有可能下探20-25美元的空间.
产油国并无减产意向
然而，由于各主要石油生产国并没有达成减产协议，使得供求关系的不平衡成为原油价格下滑的根本因素。上周，美国产油商们在会议上对高盛集团表示，尽管石油价额持续跳水，但其仍将尽可能保持美国油井运的运转。
欧盟国家在周一称，伴随联合国将解除对伊朗的经济制裁，伊朗将重新回到产油市场，将给原油价格再度施压。伊朗石油部长Gijian Namdar Zanganeh表示，欧派克成员国产油量并没有达到额度，暗示伊朗将在结束制裁后加大石油输出。
12月份沙特阿拉伯所召集的欧派克成员国的会议上并没有达成限产协议，而美国、俄罗斯也表示将继续保持产量。
原油交易商放弃多头，产油商对冲风险卖空
截至北京时间4点40分，英国伦敦商品交易所布伦特原油期货价格下跌6.38%至31.43美元/桶，连续6日跌幅达约15%。
据一些交易商表示，由于产油商为对冲风险而卖出原油期货合约所致，2017年与2018年合约价格昨日也呈大幅下滑。而投机交易商将净多头仓位坚持到自2010年最低， 并加大空头仓位表明其对于原油价格已经失去信心。
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