由于乳制品需求较供给量下降,昨日全球乳制品拍卖价格指数继两次微幅上涨后下滑1.6%。 本次乳制品价格均值较前次保持2458美元/吨未变,共售出25671吨乳制品,较三周之前的24888吨有所上升。
乳品价格下降使得本已呈现弱势的纽币再度下滑。 数据公布后,纽币对美元由0.6721下滑至0.6684,目前运行于0.6696附近。 昨日纽币对美元由开盘为0.6758。
全球乳制品价格指数变化
数据来源:Globaldairytrade
全球乳制品拍卖价格指数10年走势
数据来源:Globaldairytrade
AgriHQ分析师Nick Handley表示:“由于市场对于乳制品价格的预期较高,此次拍卖结果令人失望”,“然而,全球乳制品需求相对于供给量持续不足”。AgriHQ 2015-2016年度的奶固体收购价格下降7纽分至4.60纽币/千克,与新西兰恒天然乳业2015-2016年度奶制品收购价格预期一致。
本次拍卖价格中,全脂奶粉价格下跌4.4%至2210美元/公,脱脂奶粉价格下降0.8%至1890美元/吨。同时,黄油价格上涨6.7%至3314美元/吨,Cheddar奶酪价格上涨3.5%至2964美元/吨,乳糖为最大赢家,其价格上涨11.4%至594美元/吨。
可以看出奶粉类价格持续下滑,同时其他乳制品价格保持上涨。说明奶粉价格仍然受欧洲地区扩大产量加入市场竞争所影响,近期,由于新西兰乳制品产量的下降被欧洲地区产量所抵消而致乳品价格迟迟无法上涨。据目前形势来看, 乳制品价格短时间内难以恢复,可能会在本年度持续低位。
本次拍卖的166个投标者中122个胜出,共有12轮竞标。竞标者数量由上次的613上涨至616。
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