如果我们不悲观或许可以闯过这一关，如果我们悲观可能危机就在不远的将来。欧洲央行行长德拉吉昨日的讲话让市场倒吸一口冷气，货币大战还未结束，硝烟有望再起…虽然本次会议各项利率保持不变，但德拉吉示意宽松仍会进行，与3月份会议发言一改口径，导致欧元再次大跌跳水。
欧洲央行保持现行各项利率不变，但不放弃继续宽松
本以为欧洲央行已经黔驴技穷，无招可使， 但本次德拉吉一改口径， 就在上个月份，欧洲央行分别将这三项利率调低: 将存款利息率由-0.3%降为-0.4%, 但保持再融资操作由0.05%下调至0，将边际借贷便利利率由0.30%下调至0.25%。昨日在新闻发布会上行长德拉吉宣布将保持这三项利率在一定时期内不变，但同时不放弃使用各种金融工具再次进行货币宽松。
欧元再迎跌势，货币战硝烟再起
在欧洲央行行长德拉吉的表态后，欧元暴跌125点，由最高1.14跌至最低1.1269。这次货币市场再次应招，欧元终于又被硬拖下水。实际上昨日跳水的不只是欧元，除日元兑美元涨0.34%以外，其他非美元货币也均呈跳水之势，商品货币属性的加币、澳币、纽币相对美元分别下跌0.62%，0.73%与0.98%。同时，美元指数在跌下0.8%后，由于欧洲会议表态涨回跌幅，以上涨0.08%收盘。
昨日货币市场的行情不知道是央行们之间的默契，还是意料之外的对欧洲央行的中招，但足以说明货币战或将硝烟再起。整个货币市场4-5月份有可能将进入震荡整理期，6月份将是分水岭，届时我们会迎来美联储、欧洲央行、日本央行、新西兰央行、澳联储及欧盟峰会等各大经济体的重要货币政策会议。而除美联储有加息预期以外，其他央行均有继续下调利率的可能。
大宗商品涨跌不一，全球股指涨势出现急刹车，投资者真正需要冷静
欧元大跌，美元大涨，大宗商品涨跌不一，但全球股指如所料来了个急刹车，商品期货市场总体来看出现小幅回撤之态。欧美国各大股指纷纷顶部回撤， 其中， 道指跌（-0.63%），标普指数跌（0.52%），原油（WTI）跌（-1.2%）， 棉花跌（-0.2%）。大豆成为长胜军而连长四日，本周已经上涨7.23%至1017美元/公吨，成功突破1000正数关口。
目前形势看来，风险有望上行，投资者真正需要在此时审时度势，观后市而行。
文章出处： CMC Markets
公众号：cmcmarketsapac
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