据2014年06月29日《悉尼晨锋报》报道,莱坊环球房地产价格指数(Knight Frank Global House Price Index)对全球房价增长幅度的排行中,澳大利亚去年房地产价格以10.9%的增幅被列为第7强。
据报道,对澳大利亚这一官方排名的消息可能加剧房产观察家对房产价格泡沫的关注。然而,最近的数据显示房地产市场已开始降温,根据莱坊报告,澳洲房价在今年第一季度的涨幅放缓至较为温和的2.1%。
澳洲房产顾问公司世邦魏理仕(CBRE)主席布朗(Justin Brown)表示,他对澳洲强劲的排名并不感到惊讶,也不认为房产市场存在潜在的资产泡沫。
布朗称,澳洲位于亚洲的家门口,由于地理位置的原因限制了全澳城市的发展机会,这些都是推动房价增长的主要动力。
布朗曾预测澳洲的房价在未来5年内将继续以每年5%至7%的幅度增长。他说:“我们在国内和国际上已经积累了相当多的被压抑的需求。市场将会潮起潮落,但总体上是正向的增长。”
莱坊指数显示房价涨幅领先的国家有迪拜、中国、爱沙尼亚、土耳其、台湾和巴西。在共有54个国家的列表中,垫底的为克罗地亚、塞浦路斯和希腊。
迪拜连续第4个季度列于排行榜首位,在截止至今年3月底的年度中,房产中位价增幅高达27.7%。在监管变化之后,阿联酋市场价格在今年第一季度里的增幅降为平和的3.4%。
莱坊住房研究副主任西谢尔斯基(Michelle Ciesielski)表示,指数显示全球房价在过去两年里的每个季度均在持续上升,但价格增长幅度在2014年的第一季度放缓下来。
全球指数在2014年第一季度增长了0.6%,而前一季度的增幅为1.2%。
该指数是利用官方统计数据或储备银行的数据按季度编制。
Australia in the top 10 for price growth
June 4, 2014
Carolyn Boyd
Australia’s property market has been named one of the 10 hottest in the world for prices growth.
The Knight Frank Global House Price Index has ranked Australia’s property price growth over the past year as the seventh-strongest internationally following an annual increase of 10.9 per cent.
The news of Australia’s official ranking may feed property watchers’ concerns over a price bubble. However, in line with recent data showing the market is beginning to cool, the Knight Frank report reveals growth in Australian house prices slowed to a more moderate 2.1 per cent over the first quarter of this year.
The chairman of CBRE Residential, Justin Brown, said he wasn’t surprised by Australia’s strong ranking and dismissed talk that it pointed to a potential asset bubble.
Australia’s location on Asia’s doorstep and the restricted development opportunities in the nation’s cities “due to geographic reasons”were prime drivers for prices growth, he said.
“We’ve got quite a pent-up demand both domestically and internationally,” said Brown, who has predicted Australian house prices will continue growing between 5 and 7 per cent a year for the next five years.
“It will ebb and flow, but we will see positive growth,” he said.
The Knight Frank index’s leading countries for prices growth were Dubai, China, Estonia, Turkey, Taiwan and Brazil. At the bottom of the list of 54 countries were Croatia, Cyprus and Greece.
Dubai, which topped the annual rankings for the fourth consecutive quarter, recorded a sizzling 27.7 per cent median price increase in the year to the end of March. Prices in the Emirates market rose by a much calmer 3.4 per cent in the first three months of this year following regulatory changes.
Knight Frank’s associate director of residential research,Michelle Ciesielski, said the index showed global house prices had risen consistently each quarter over the past two years, but the rate of price growth slowed in the first three months of 2014.
The global index rose by 0.6 per cent in the first quarter of 2014, down from 1.2 per cent during the previous quarter.
Nevertheless, it was the first time since 2008 that the biggest price falls in the poorer-performing markets were less than 10 percent.
The index is compiled on a quarterly basis using official government statistics or central bank data where available.