《澳洲人报》报道澳洲各大省会城市越来越少房子的价格低于40万澳元。

过去10年，澳洲各大都市的房价猛涨，低于40万澳元的房子数目猛跌。

现在全国各大省会平均只有30%的房子低于40万澳元。

在澳洲来说，只有塔斯马尼亚霍巴特的大部分房子价格还低于40万。而在首都堪培拉，仅仅只有7.5%的房子价格低于40万澳元。

在10年前，澳洲各大都会三分之二的房子价格低于40万。而在澳洲最大的城市悉尼，这里的房价最值钱，只有14%的独立房子，24%的公寓价格是低于40万澳元的。

RP Data 的资深研究员Cameron Kusher说，虽然目前在墨尔本和悉尼大兴土木，建设了不少的新公寓，但是价格还是很高，首次购房者还是很难进市。他介绍说，通常来说，公寓房价格稍微低一些，人们更容易负担得起。但是现在在悉尼和墨尔本，也已经没有什么公寓单位的价格低于40万。

他说，他认为在今后几年，澳洲人拥有自己房子的比例将逐渐下跌。这完全是因为澳洲各大城市的房价上涨得太快，人们负担不起而导致的。目前在各大都市，40万的房子都在离开市中心非常远的郊区，那里，人们才能找到这些房子。

RP Data的房屋价格指数显示，全国各大城市的房价平均在过去五年增长超过20%。在全国其它小城镇和乡村地区，64%的房子价格还是低于40万澳元。10年前，这个比例是86%。

目前全国各大城市低于40万澳元房子的比例是：

1. 堪培拉 7.5%，10年前是61%

2. 悉尼 13.5%， 10年前是34%

3. 珀斯 16%， 10年前是85%

4. 达尔文 19%， 10年前是93%

5. 墨尔本 25%， 10年前是70%

6. 布里斯班 33%，10年前是78%

7. 阿德雷德 49%，10年前是87%

8. 霍巴特 63%， 10年前是91%。

原文：

How many homes sell under $400,000?

Article by RP Data senior research analyst,

作者：Cameron Kusher

With home values continuing to rise across most capital city regions around the country, fewer dwellings are selling for less than $400,000.

According to the RP Data Home Value Index results, over the three month to June 2014 the combined capital city median house price was $550,000 and the median unit price was $475,000. Given the median is the middle sale price over the period, it indicates that over the 3 month period an equal number of homes sold above that figure as below.

With capital city home values having increased by 10.1% over the 12 months to June 2014 it is becoming increasingly difficult for price sensitive purchasers to enter the housing market. This is most often the casein Sydney and Melbourne where home values have increased by 15.4% and 9.4% respectively over the past year.

When you move outside of capital cities affording housing becomes somewhat more achievable. Of course employment is often more difficultto secure in regional areas. The latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reveals that across most states unemployment is lower in the capital cities than in regional markets. The exceptions are Qld where the unemployment rate is 6.4% in both Brisbane and Regional Qld and in SA where Adelaide’s unemployment rate is 6.8% compared to 6.4% in Regional SA. The point is, although housing might be much more affordable outside of capital cities,job prospects are often not as strong.

If we consider the growth in home values and the selling prices of homes it indicates a shortening supply of more affordable homes. Across the combined capital cities, 28% of homes sold over the 12 months to June 2014 were priced below $400,000. In regional areas the figure was a much higher 63.9%. There has been a substantial reduction in housing under $400,000 over the past decade. 10 years ago, 69.3% of capital city home sales and 86.4%of regional home sales were below $400,000.

Although home value growth has moderated over each of the past two five year periods, the supply of homes selling at lower price points (i.e. less than $400,000) has also fallen. Of course rising home values is great for those that have their own homes. Housing is Australia’s single largest asset class and for most people is where they store the majority oftheir wealth. It is a very different story for those who don’t own their home.

Affordable housing is the way that most first time buyers enter the market.With the supply of affordable homes within capital cities shortening significantly, the prospects for first home buyers entering the market are also diminishing.

With fewer homes available at lower price points we would expect the typical age of first home buyers to increase. Further, it is likelythe high cost of housing will force more residents to become long-term renters rather than home owners.

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