周二全球乳制品拍卖价格再次下滑,加之周三公布的新西兰第三季度就业人数较上一季度下跌0.4个百分点,失业人数上涨2个百分点,失业率上升一个0.1个百分点至6.0%。纽币继续呈压下行,可能将再次测试关键支撑位置0.66整数位附近。
技术形态
整体技术走势上看,由于9月份与10月份两个月出现潜在筑底形态,纽币走势仍显多头的强势迹象。但由于今日的不佳经济数据影响与本周的美国非农数据,使得目前的情况会出现先多空博弈分化行情。
目前的临界位置有可能在0.66整数位置附近。向上的潜在空间可能为0.6770,0.6950,0.7080;而向下的潜在位置可能为0.6460 - 0.6500的空间。
日线图
如之前对纽币的讨论中所提及,纽币/美元在短期的下降通道中整理下行,此时再次试探通道底部附近潜在的重要支撑位置0.6600附近。
若此位置能够支持住则纽币/美元有可能会再次向上测试通道顶部,进而又形成潜在上升旗形的可能性,有可能突破上行测试上方潜在阻力位置0.6770附近,然后是0.6950附近;由于本周将迎来美国10月份非农业就业数据,市场将出现较大的波动行情,纽币/美元也有可能下破支撑位置,向下继续测试进一步的潜在支持位置0.6460-0.6500的区间。
月线图
月线图中显示纽币/美元在长期的下降通道中下行,而10月份收图形态看来,上方的阻力位置出现在0.6900整数位置附近,如日线图所示,如果0.6600附近的位置可以坚守住,则可能有向上突破此下降通道的可能性。而长期的上方潜在多头目标可能在0.6900,然后是0.7080附近。
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